Actuarial Data Science Lead
ShepherdCommercial Construction company
San Francisco, United StatesLead
Costanoa Ventures
Spark Capital
Susa Ventures
Intact Ventures
Greenlight Reinsurance
Era Ventures
Data & AI
About the role
TL;DR
Lead the development of commercial auto pricing models and predictive analytics.
- •Shepherd is building the data infrastructure and predictive models that power modern commercial insurance.
- •As an Actuarial Data Science Lead on the Actuarial & Predictive Analytics team, you will own the development of pricing models starting with commercial auto, one of our highest-volume and most data-rich lines.
- •You'll directly shape the quality of the book we write and the products we bring to market.
- •Key Responsibilities Own commercial auto pricing models end-to-end from feature development through deployment and iterate on them as the book grows and new data sources come online Build and deploy predictive models build and deploy loss cost models that set pricing for Shepherd's commercial auto book Design and maintain feature pipelines that transform raw submission, claims, and third-party data into model-ready inputs Collaborate with actuaries and underwriters to translate domain expertise into model features and validate outputs against real-world outcomes Develop model monitoring frameworks to track drift, performance degradation, and calibration over time Requirements 7+ years of professional experience building and deploying personal auto or commercial lines predictive pricing models in production Familiarity with actuarial concepts (loss development, exposure rating, credibility) Strong foundation in statistics: GLMs, GBDTs, time series analysis, heavy tail distributions, and Bayesian methods Proficiency in Python and SQL ACAS/FCAS actuarial designation Experience with feature engineering on messy, real-world, small data Ability to reason from first principles and communicate results crisply to non-technical audiences AI-native mindset: you already use LLMs and AI tools to accelerate your own work Experience managing a small team or project
Required skills
PythonSQL
Nice-to-have skills
NLPAWS
Domain expertise
insurtech
Benefits & perks
Premium Healthcare, Fertility benefits and family building support, Unlimited PTO, Daily lunches, dinners, and snacks, Professional Development, Competitive 401(k) Plan, Dog-friendly office
Tech stack
PythonSQLAWS